Post by Taipei on Oct 3, 2016 17:08:28 GMT
Vince Carter #3 (2005)
After only three years, Vince looks like a disaster of a pick. He showed a little improvement early on, but took some hard hits that he probably won't recover from. He's undoubtedly one of the premier athletes in the league and should probably win a few dunk contests. As will be mentioned throughout this list, Carter started pretty strong averaging 18 points 4 rebounds and 3 assists his rookie year. However, he has regressed to being a bench guy for one of the worst teams in the league by year 3.
Ricky Barry #2
Probably the biggest bust we've seen so far. Taken #2 overall, before KAT, DWade, Carmelo Anthony among others, Barry has turned out to be a massive disappointment. As with most of the guys on the list, Barry started his career strong. He averaged 17.7ppg 5.2rpg and 3.9apg over his first 3 years. Many expected him to develop into a quality combo guard. Sadly, He took some huge hits over the last two years and despite his great athleticism, will probably never be anything more than a 7th or 8th guy on a good team.
Michael Redd #6 (2006)
Despite not being as high a pick as some of the guys mentioned, Redd has been pretty bad for a #6 pick. Most people assumed that Redd would be an athletic shooter who could develop into a 16-20 ppg scorer who would be an at least adequate defender. Sadly he hasn't developed and probably will never see serious minutes on a contender. He averaged 17 points and 5 rebounds in year one, but it doesn't look like he'll get anywhere near that this year. I don't see him being anymore than a volume shooter who can score 15ppg on a bottom of the league team.
Deron Williams #8 (2001)
The real losers of the inaugural draft were the Milano Olympia, who drafted Deron Williams with the #8 pick. As far as rookie seasons go, Williams was productive. He averaged 14.8 points 7.3 assists on almost 44%FG and even managed to make the All-Rookie 2nd Team. Going into the final year of his rookie contract, Williams was averaging 13.4ppg and 6.9apg. Year 4 was the beginning of the decline, and he now sits on the end of the bench on a 5-15 team.
Damian Lillard #6 (2002)
Another guy that started off really strong but has been reduced to the 7th or 8th guy in the rotation is Damian Lillard. He began his career with a sparkling 23.4ppg 7.0apg and 1.9spg stat line, an All-Star appearance, and All-Rookie 1st team honors. Like a few other guys on this list Lillard was looking good headed into the dreaded contract year TC. His first 3 years averages are 21.3ppg 7.2apg 1.7spg. Since then, he's managed only 7.9ppg 3.2apg 0.8spg. Looks to a future min level guy after his contract finishes out.
Chris Bosh #8 (2004)
In what was a loaded draft, the perennial cellar-dwellers the Newcastle Eagles selected Chris Bosh with the number eight pick. Bosh started his career very strong averaging 20 points 8 rebounds and close to 2 blocks. Inevitably playing for the Eagles destroyed his momentum and he was barely picked in the dispersal draft despite being on the last year of his rookie contract. So far this year, he's averaging 6 points and 3 rebounds in a little less than 15 minutes a game.
Vladimir Pistalek #7 (2005)
The former #7 pick looks to be a minimum level guy for the rest of his career. I think most people thought his pick was a bit of a reach at the time, but to be fair it wasn't a particularly strong draft. Pistalek was a bit of an unknown coming into the league. He hasn't seen the court yet this year, but only shot 38% FG in the previous two seasons. Aoshen could probably decline the final year of his rookie deal and resign him of the min to save cap next year. He's by far the worst player on this list, but he surely had the lowest expectations as well.
Steve Smith #4
Not sure he could really be considered a bust, BUT he does play for the Spurs. The new max contract is questionable at best. He should be just about past TC death range, but if he loses some of his average athleticism- he could be in serious trouble. Career averages of 16/4/4 are respectable, but he's only an average defender at best. Not a complete bust, but certainly not what you are looking for with the #4 pick.
Andrew Bogut #10 (2001)
Despite his ratings, Bogut has been a bit of a disappointment. His career started on a high-point averaging 18 points 8.5 rebounds 1.3 blocks on 56% FG, but quickly fell off to 8.2 points and 5.4 rebounds. He has been a consistently good FG shooter, averaging over 58% for his career. He is probably a weak addition to the list and if he can get into the starting line up, he could be a 15-10 type guy.
After only three years, Vince looks like a disaster of a pick. He showed a little improvement early on, but took some hard hits that he probably won't recover from. He's undoubtedly one of the premier athletes in the league and should probably win a few dunk contests. As will be mentioned throughout this list, Carter started pretty strong averaging 18 points 4 rebounds and 3 assists his rookie year. However, he has regressed to being a bench guy for one of the worst teams in the league by year 3.
Ricky Barry #2
Probably the biggest bust we've seen so far. Taken #2 overall, before KAT, DWade, Carmelo Anthony among others, Barry has turned out to be a massive disappointment. As with most of the guys on the list, Barry started his career strong. He averaged 17.7ppg 5.2rpg and 3.9apg over his first 3 years. Many expected him to develop into a quality combo guard. Sadly, He took some huge hits over the last two years and despite his great athleticism, will probably never be anything more than a 7th or 8th guy on a good team.
Michael Redd #6 (2006)
Despite not being as high a pick as some of the guys mentioned, Redd has been pretty bad for a #6 pick. Most people assumed that Redd would be an athletic shooter who could develop into a 16-20 ppg scorer who would be an at least adequate defender. Sadly he hasn't developed and probably will never see serious minutes on a contender. He averaged 17 points and 5 rebounds in year one, but it doesn't look like he'll get anywhere near that this year. I don't see him being anymore than a volume shooter who can score 15ppg on a bottom of the league team.
Deron Williams #8 (2001)
The real losers of the inaugural draft were the Milano Olympia, who drafted Deron Williams with the #8 pick. As far as rookie seasons go, Williams was productive. He averaged 14.8 points 7.3 assists on almost 44%FG and even managed to make the All-Rookie 2nd Team. Going into the final year of his rookie contract, Williams was averaging 13.4ppg and 6.9apg. Year 4 was the beginning of the decline, and he now sits on the end of the bench on a 5-15 team.
Damian Lillard #6 (2002)
Another guy that started off really strong but has been reduced to the 7th or 8th guy in the rotation is Damian Lillard. He began his career with a sparkling 23.4ppg 7.0apg and 1.9spg stat line, an All-Star appearance, and All-Rookie 1st team honors. Like a few other guys on this list Lillard was looking good headed into the dreaded contract year TC. His first 3 years averages are 21.3ppg 7.2apg 1.7spg. Since then, he's managed only 7.9ppg 3.2apg 0.8spg. Looks to a future min level guy after his contract finishes out.
Chris Bosh #8 (2004)
In what was a loaded draft, the perennial cellar-dwellers the Newcastle Eagles selected Chris Bosh with the number eight pick. Bosh started his career very strong averaging 20 points 8 rebounds and close to 2 blocks. Inevitably playing for the Eagles destroyed his momentum and he was barely picked in the dispersal draft despite being on the last year of his rookie contract. So far this year, he's averaging 6 points and 3 rebounds in a little less than 15 minutes a game.
Vladimir Pistalek #7 (2005)
The former #7 pick looks to be a minimum level guy for the rest of his career. I think most people thought his pick was a bit of a reach at the time, but to be fair it wasn't a particularly strong draft. Pistalek was a bit of an unknown coming into the league. He hasn't seen the court yet this year, but only shot 38% FG in the previous two seasons. Aoshen could probably decline the final year of his rookie deal and resign him of the min to save cap next year. He's by far the worst player on this list, but he surely had the lowest expectations as well.
Steve Smith #4
Not sure he could really be considered a bust, BUT he does play for the Spurs. The new max contract is questionable at best. He should be just about past TC death range, but if he loses some of his average athleticism- he could be in serious trouble. Career averages of 16/4/4 are respectable, but he's only an average defender at best. Not a complete bust, but certainly not what you are looking for with the #4 pick.
Andrew Bogut #10 (2001)
Despite his ratings, Bogut has been a bit of a disappointment. His career started on a high-point averaging 18 points 8.5 rebounds 1.3 blocks on 56% FG, but quickly fell off to 8.2 points and 5.4 rebounds. He has been a consistently good FG shooter, averaging over 58% for his career. He is probably a weak addition to the list and if he can get into the starting line up, he could be a 15-10 type guy.
