Post by Portland on May 11, 2016 15:03:30 GMT
Below are some stats I was putting together for an article that unfortunately isn't going to see the light of day. The numbers are still interesting I think, so I'll share them here. These are the 11 teams with a shot at the 3-8 seeds in the American Conference. I've excluded New York and Minnesota because neither is going to drop out of the top two seeds, and I don't foresee the order changing either. But from 3-8 there should be some interesting movement and battles for the seeds.
Reading across, the columns represent: Team, Wins, Losses, Win%, GB, W% of remaining opponents, home games remaining, and toughest opponents remaining:
Team W L Pct GB Opp% H Remaining
Washington 42 25 .627 9.5 .493 6 NYK, Min, Fub
Brazil 38 28 .576 13.0 .483 10 NYK, Bei, Bos(2)
Toronto 39 25 .609 11.0 .526 13 Tel, NYK, Fub
Boston 40 27 .597 11.5 .437 7 Min, Mik, Fra(2)
Portland 38 29 .567 13.5 .513 6 NYK, Min(2)
Rio De Janeiro 35 31 .530 16.0 .454 7 Fra (2), Por
Vancouver 35 33 .515 17.0 .484 6 NYK, Min, Ist
Buenos Aires 33 33 .500 18.0 .506 7 NYK, Min(2)
New Orleans 33 33 .500 18.0 .501 12 Min, Ist, Bei
San Francisco 33 34 .493 18.5 .521 7 Tel, Min, Mik
Los Angeles 32 35 .478 19.5 .532 9 Tel, Min, Mik
Some things jump out:
Toronto's ridiculous home sched with the Wildcats being their only away game in their last nine contests
Portland's brutal away sched with Cairo the only home game in our last nine contests (and no Riva!)
Rio's remaining sched includes no team with more than 38 wins
Los Angeles' opponents with the best record, Boston's with the worst
The trends:
Vancouver has been playing .333 ball over their last 21 games
The Warriors have won 13-of-18
The Blazers are playing .750 ball over their last 16 games (but now no Riva!)
Rio 12-5 over their last 17 games
Boca with a losing record over their last 16 games
I think it'll be another interesting playoff chase the next few sims and probably a surprise or two. Their will be injuries playing a deciding factor as always. Minnesota and New York will only be trying to stay healthy - I doubt either of them is too concerned about who their first round opponents will be. But for the rest of us getting to the playoffs at all will represent a successful season, and getting a six-or-better seed will mean a real shot of getting out of the first round.
Reading across, the columns represent: Team, Wins, Losses, Win%, GB, W% of remaining opponents, home games remaining, and toughest opponents remaining:
Team W L Pct GB Opp% H Remaining
Washington 42 25 .627 9.5 .493 6 NYK, Min, Fub
Brazil 38 28 .576 13.0 .483 10 NYK, Bei, Bos(2)
Toronto 39 25 .609 11.0 .526 13 Tel, NYK, Fub
Boston 40 27 .597 11.5 .437 7 Min, Mik, Fra(2)
Portland 38 29 .567 13.5 .513 6 NYK, Min(2)
Rio De Janeiro 35 31 .530 16.0 .454 7 Fra (2), Por
Vancouver 35 33 .515 17.0 .484 6 NYK, Min, Ist
Buenos Aires 33 33 .500 18.0 .506 7 NYK, Min(2)
New Orleans 33 33 .500 18.0 .501 12 Min, Ist, Bei
San Francisco 33 34 .493 18.5 .521 7 Tel, Min, Mik
Los Angeles 32 35 .478 19.5 .532 9 Tel, Min, Mik
Some things jump out:
Toronto's ridiculous home sched with the Wildcats being their only away game in their last nine contests
Portland's brutal away sched with Cairo the only home game in our last nine contests (and no Riva!)
Rio's remaining sched includes no team with more than 38 wins
Los Angeles' opponents with the best record, Boston's with the worst
The trends:
Vancouver has been playing .333 ball over their last 21 games
The Warriors have won 13-of-18
The Blazers are playing .750 ball over their last 16 games (but now no Riva!)
Rio 12-5 over their last 17 games
Boca with a losing record over their last 16 games
I think it'll be another interesting playoff chase the next few sims and probably a surprise or two. Their will be injuries playing a deciding factor as always. Minnesota and New York will only be trying to stay healthy - I doubt either of them is too concerned about who their first round opponents will be. But for the rest of us getting to the playoffs at all will represent a successful season, and getting a six-or-better seed will mean a real shot of getting out of the first round.
